Cyclone Oma: QLD Braces As Heavy Winds And High Tides Descend
22 February, 2019, 23:41 | Author: Sherry Houston
NIWA meteorologist Ben Noll said Tropical Cyclone Oma was not out of the question, with experts keeping an eye on its developments, but it seemed to be tracking towards Queensland, Australia.
"We're advising people not to actually stand on the sand and get close to the waters edge".
Strong winds, rain and 3m to 4m waves are forecast toward the end of the week as Oma - now near Vanuatu - moves southwest.
"Bundaberg's weather will be interesting over the weekend", she said.
Oma is now swirling north of New Caledonia, with the Fiji Metrological Service - whose area of responsibility it now lies in - upgrading the system to a category three cyclone.
Even if Tropical Cyclone Oma didn't strike, it did open the door for a low to come in from the Tasman Sea and move across the country. Hard, dry soil could mean flooding for some areas because rain won't be easily absorbed into the ground.
ECMWF was on Saturday supporting a Queensland landfall but on Sunday has shifted it more inline with GFS for a time - but then reverses, going against GFS. At this stage there is still much uncertainty across the weather model outputs regarding where TC Oma will move so there is no definitive answer on its exact path at this point.
This IBM super computer crunches all the forecast modelling in the world along with other trusted data so we suggest you keep up to date with your local 10 day forecast, including the hourly chance for rain, wind speed etc, to help fine tune the confusing set up this weekend and early next week and make sense of it more on a local regional level for you.
Early yesterday the Bureau of Meteorology issued a warning for areas including the Capricornia Coast that surf and swell conditions from today were "expected to be hazardous" for activities such as rock fishing, surfing, boating and swimming.
"The system is moving back towards eastern Australia".
"By Monday, Oma will begin to move away from the area".
ECMWF - Showing OMA being pushed back north into the Coral Sea by a large high over Tasmania, while a new low forms on the southerly over New Zealand.
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